Friday, November 2, 2012

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 021728
SWODY2
SPC AC 021726

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1226 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...ARKLATEX...
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE CNTRL AND ERN U.S. ON
SATURDAY AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES SEWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND
MID TO UPPER MS VALLEY. AT THE SFC...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE IN
PLACE ACROSS THE ARKLATEX FROM SCNTRL AR WSWWD TO AROUND DALLAS/FORT
WORTH. THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THIS BOUNDARY
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WHEN INSTABILITY IS
FORECAST TO BE MAXIMIZED AND LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE SHOULD BE
ENHANCED. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALONG THE BOUNDARY AT 00Z/SUN GENERALLY
SHOW ABOUT 1500 J/KG OF SBCAPE WITH STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES.
THIS COULD BE ENOUGH FOR A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS. SMALL HAIL WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE BUT WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES SHOULD MAKE ANY
SEVERE THREAT MARGINAL ACROSS THE REGION.

..BROYLES.. 11/02/2012

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