Thursday, November 22, 2012

DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 220608
SWODY3
SPC AC 220606

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1206 AM CST THU NOV 22 2012

VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER-AIR PATTERN IS FCST TO BECOME RATHER AMPLIFIED OVER CONUS
THROUGH PERIOD...AS NRN-STREAM TROUGH DISCUSSED IN DAY-2 OUTLOOK
CROSSES LOWER GREAT LAKES AND MIDLEVEL HEIGHTS FALL ALONG ATLC
SEABOARD. STG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE MOST OF ATLC COAST LATE
DAY-2...SEWD THROUGH FL PENINSULA DURING FIRST 6-9 HOURS OF THIS
PERIOD...AND SWD ACROSS NRN/WRN GULF. WITH NLY FLOW ON BOTH SIDES
OF FRONT...CONVERGENCE SHOULD BE MINIMAL OVER FL...AS WILL BE
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL. OVER DEEP S TX...LIFT ATOP POSTFRONTAL STABLE
LAYER MAY SUPPORT ELEVATED CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL EARLY IN
PERIOD...WITH MUCAPE UP TO ABOUT 300 J/KG EVIDENT IN MOST
AGGRESSIVELY MOIST MODEL FCST SOUNDINGS. WHILE LTG CANNOT BE RULED
OUT...POTENTIAL APPEARS TOO ISOLATED/MRGL/CONDITIONAL FOR GEN
THUNDER LINE ATTM.

..EDWARDS.. 11/22/2012

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