SEL1
SPC WW 150019
ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-TXZ000-150800-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 111
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
715 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS
NORTHERN LOUISIANA
WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
NORTHEAST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 715 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
TEXARKANA ARKANSAS TO 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF GREENVILLE
MISSISSIPPI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE JUST DEVELOPED OVER NE TX/SW AR IN LOW-LEVEL
WAA ZONE ALONG WEAK WNW/ESE-ORIENTED WARM FRONT. STORMS/SUPERCELLS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN WW THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY AS EXIT REGION OF
SLIGHTLY-AMPLIFYING MID/UPR JET STREAK OVER WRN OK CONTINUES ESEWD.
COMBINATION OF INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE...MODERATE TO STRONG
SPEED/DIRECTIONAL SHEAR...AND INCREASING UVV SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR A
FEW SUSTAINED DISCRETE SUPERCELLS THAT COULD YIELD A COUPLE
TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL/HIGH WIND. THE STORMS SHOULD
MERGE INTO AN MCS BY EARLY SATURDAY...WITH A CONTINUING THREAT FOR
HAIL/WIND E/NE INTO ERN AR/NW MS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.
..CORFIDI
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