SWOMCD
SPC MCD 120157
OHZ000-WVZ000-KYZ000-120400-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0463
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0857 PM CDT WED APR 11 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/ERN OH...NERN KY...FAR WRN WV
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 127...
VALID 120157Z - 120400Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WW 127 CONTINUES.
A NEW WW EAST OF WW 127 IS NOT EXPECTED.
ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE LINE WITH EMBEDDED BOW SEGMENTS WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE ENEWD AROUND 40 KTS ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SCENTRAL OH
AND NERN KY OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HRS. THE 00Z ILN SOUNDING INDICATED A
VERY STRONGLY SHEARED...BUT LOW CAPE ENVIRONMENT /MUCAPES AROUND 400
J/KG/ WITH A SFC T/TD OF 55/51 F. RECENT SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS MUCH
MORE STABLE OVER ERN/NERN OH EXISTS WITH TEMPERATURES BELOW 50 F AND
DWPTS IN THE LOW-MID 40S. DESPITE STRONG WAA...RECENT RUC PFC/S
INDICATE THAT AIRMASS SHOULD REMAIN STABLE ENOUGH /MUCAPES LESS THAN
100 J/KG/ THAT THE SVR THREAT WITH THIS ORGANIZED LINE IS
ANTICIPATED TO END NEAR OR JUST EAST OF WW 127 ACROSS ERN OH AND FAR
WRN WV. PRIOR TO THEN...THE THREAT WILL CONTINUE FOR DMGG WIND GUSTS
AND LARGE HAIL.
.CROSBIE.. 04/12/2007
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...LMK...
40648288 39938320 39068370 37858397 37718304 37848207
38428152 39608106 40368130 40828160 41078237 40818276
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