SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242010
TNZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-MSZ000-ILZ000-LAZ000-242215-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0565
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0310 PM CDT TUE APR 24 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...MO SWD INTO AR
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 242010Z - 242215Z
STORM COVERAGE IS FORECAST TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS...WITH SOME SEVERE THREAT EXPECTED.
WARM ADVECTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO SUPPORT AN INCREASE IN
STORM COVERAGE ACROSS PARTS OF MO AND INTO CENTRAL AND ERN
AR...AHEAD OF ADVANCING UPPER TROUGH. DESPITE APPRECIABLE CLOUD
COVER -- PARTICULARLY ACROSS AR...MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER IS SUPPORTING
1000 TO 1500 J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE ACROSS MUCH OF THIS AREA.
WHILE INSTABILITY IS SUFFICIENT...SHEAR REMAINS MODEST -- GENERALLY
LESS THAN 35 KT IN THE 0-6 KM LAYER. THOUGH SOME INCREASE IN
MID-LEVEL FLOW MAY SPREAD ACROSS AR/SRN MO LATER THIS
EVENING/OVERNIGHT...EXPECT OVERALL SEVERE THREAT TO REMAIN LIMITED
TO MARGINAL HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG/GUSTY WINDS -- AND PERHAPS AN
ISOLATED TORNADO. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS REGION FOR
POSSIBLE WW ISSUANCE...THOUGH NEW WATCH IS NOT IMMINENT ATTM.
.GOSS.. 04/24/2007
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...JAN...LSX...LZK...SGF...SHV...EAX...
33859327 35869289 39269405 39579340 39649245 38449038
36378970 35109013 33509116 32999205 33099371
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