SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292050
TXZ000-NMZ000-292145-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0616
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0350 PM CDT SUN APR 29 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHWEST TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 292050Z - 292145Z
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND SPREAD NEWD ACROSS THE TX
SOUTH PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. AIRMASS IS NOT PARTICULARLY UNSTABLE
BENEATH EXPANDING CLOUDS/PRECIPITATION...ESPECIALLY FARTHER NORTH
ALONG LEADING EDGE OF ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS. OF MORE
CONCERN IS THAT REGION JUST NORTH OF THE TORNADO WATCH FROM MAF-SJT
WHERE STRONGER DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND INSTABILITY SEEM SUFFICIENT FOR
WEAK SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY GENERATE
HAIL...BUT AT THIS TIME SEVERE THREAT SEEMS TOO LIMITED TO WARRANT A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH. GREATER SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN
BENEATH STRONGER DEEP LAYER SHEAR WITHIN EXIT REGION OF NRN MEXICO
SPEED MAX ACROSS TORNADO WATCH 198.
.DARROW.. 04/29/2007
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...
32330310 34350090 33669933 31679984 31170072 31720173
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