SWOMCD
SPC MCD 251912
COZ000-NMZ000-252115-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0889
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0212 PM CDT FRI MAY 25 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST CO/EAST CENTRAL NM
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 251912Z - 252115Z
LARGE HAIL/DOWNBURSTS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY LIKELY THIS
AFTERNOON...INITIALLY ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL NM/SOUTH CENTRAL
CO...WITH STORMS DEVELOPING EASTWARD INTO THE PLAINS THROUGH
MID/LATE AFTERNOON. A WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...HOWEVER
TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY FEATURES SHORTWAVE IMPULSE/MID LEVEL SPEED
MAXIMA MOVING ACROSS CO. ALONG WITH AMPLE INSOLATION...STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE MOUNTAINS/HIGHER TERRAIN OF
SOUTH CENTRAL CO AND INTERIOR NM. SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 50S
EXTEND WELL WESTWARD ACROSS NM /ESPECIALLY SOUTHERN NM/ AND INTO THE
SOUTHEAST CO PLAINS. MORNING OBSERVED SOUNDINGS FROM ALBUQUERQUE AND
EL PASO BOTH REFLECT RATHER MOIST PROFILES...WITH MEAN MIXING RATIOS
OF 7.0 G/KG AND 9.2 G/KG RESPECTIVELY...WITH PW VALUES 170 PERCENT
OF NORMAL. ALTHOUGH AMBIENT WIND FIELDS ARE MODEST /EFFECTIVE BULK
SHEAR 30 KT OR LESS/...AMPLE INSTABILITY AND/OR SLIGHTLY STRONGER
MID LEVEL WINDS WITH NORTH EXTENT ACROSS NORTHEAST NM/SOUTHEAST CO
MAY SUPPORT SOME ROTATING STORMS...WHICH WOULD ENHANCE THE HAIL
THREAT. WHILE LARGE HAIL AND DOWNBURSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGEST STORMS THROUGH EARLY EVENING...THE EXPECTED ISOLATED
NATURE OF THE THREAT SHOULD PRECLUDE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
.GUYER.. 05/25/2007
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...MAF...PUB...ABQ...EPZ...
38270516 37990297 36280326 33850362 32260481 32170795
34870776 35940642
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write chris@lib.siu.edu.
No comments:
Post a Comment