MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1061

ACUS11 KWNS 081758
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081758
FLZ000-082000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1061
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 PM CDT FRI JUN 08 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...FL PENINSULA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 081758Z - 082000Z

MULTIPLE SEVERE HAZARDS...INCLUDING MICROBURSTS/HAIL/LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND PERHAPS A TORNADO...WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE ON AN ISOLATED
BASIS ACROSS THE WEST-CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE FL PENINSULA THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. A WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS UPPER LOW CENTERED ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
COAST OF FL. AN EAST COAST SEA BREEZE HAS SPARKED A NUMBER OF
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA...BUT ALSO ACROSS INTERIOR CENTRAL FL ON A
MORE ISOLATED BASIS AS OF 18Z. 12Z OBSERVED RAOBS FROM MIAMI/TAMPA
BAY/JACKSONVILLE...AS WELL AS A 15Z RAOB FROM CAPE CANAVERAL...ALL
FEATURE FAIRLY COOL MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES AROUND -10 C AT 500 MB.
MODERATE INSTABILITY...MLCAPE VALUES ARE HIGH AS 2500 J/KG OUTSIDE
OF CONVECTIVE OUTFLOWS...WILL FAVOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS AS
DEVELOPMENT SPREADS WESTWARD. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
MICROBURSTS/HAIL AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED/BRIEF TORNADO WITH ANY
BOUNDARY MERGERS. WITH PW VALUES ABOVE NORMAL /120 PERCENT/ PER
MORNING SOUNDINGS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE AS
WELL...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FL PENINSULA.

.GUYER.. 06/08/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...

29788297 30138233 27948115 26228021 25338077 27058220
28538246

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