Tuesday, June 12, 2007

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1114

ACUS11 KWNS 121916
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 121916
FLZ000-122015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1114
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0216 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 385...

VALID 121916Z - 122015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 385
CONTINUES.

THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL SHOULD PERSIST MAINLY ACROSS
CENTRAL AND ERN PARTS OF THE CENTRAL FL PENINSULA.

AT 19Z...REGIONAL RADAR/VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATED THE SWD MOVING
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM 10 SE MLB TO 10 N AGR AND THEN NWWD
TO 45 N PIE. TSTMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE ERN PART OF THIS
BOUNDARY...NOW LOCATED FROM POLK COUNTY EWD TO THE COAST...AS IT
PROGRESSES SWD AT 30 KT INTO A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS AND
INTERACTS WITH THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE. 30-35 KT OF EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR EXTENDED SWD ALONG THE ERN PART OF THE PENINSULA AND WILL
SUPPORT ADDITIONAL ORGANIZED STORMS.

FARTHER W...THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS BECOME MORE REMOVED FROM MUCH
OF THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. GIVEN THIS TREND...A FURTHER
DIMINISHING TREND IN THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WRN
PART OF WW 385 THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...
CONVECTIVELY OVERTURNED AIR MASS ACROSS THE NERN PART OF WW 385
SHOULD ALSO HAVE A LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL SEVERE STORMS.

.PETERS.. 06/12/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...

26967966 26928253 29018311 29618299 29318235 28928227
29008161 29408144 29508076 29338047

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