Friday, June 29, 2007

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1319

ACUS11 KWNS 292001
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292000
NCZ000-SCZ000-292130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1319
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT FRI JUN 29 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 463...

VALID 292000Z - 292130Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 463
CONTINUES.

NEED FOR AN ADDITIONAL WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STRONG/SEVERE STORMS ARE ONGOING ALONG PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH/
LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE ZONE ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA...WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS GRADUALLY DEVELOPING OFF THE
MOUNTAINS INTO THE PIEDMONT. THERE IS LITTLE EVIDENT TO SUGGEST
POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER ORGANIZATION TO CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...BUT
THE RISK FOR LOCALIZED DOWNBURSTS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL MAY
CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST 22-23Z. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT MERGING COLD
POOLS COULD SUPPORT A STRENGTHENING GUST FRONT EAST/SOUTHEAST OF THE
FAYETTEVILLE/GOLDSBORO/GREENVILLE AREAS THROUGH MUCH OF THE COASTAL
PLAIN BEFORE STORMS DIMINISH EARLY THIS EVENING.

.KERR.. 06/29/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...

34847980 35297915 35637834 35867740 35877645 35437604
34587702 34317859 34287889

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