SWOMCD
SPC MCD 042018
COZ000-NMZ000-042145-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1384
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0318 PM CDT WED JUL 04 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SRN CO AND NRN NM
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 042018Z - 042145Z
..STRONG STORMS OVER THE CO/NM MTNS MAY PRODUCE SEVERE WIND GUSTS
LATER THIS AFTN AND THERE IS AN ISOLD LANDSPOUT THREAT ACROSS ERN
CO...
LOCAL RADAR IMAGERY FROM PUEBLO CO REVEALS FINELINE EXTENDING JUST
SOUTHWEST OF LIMON TO EAST OF COLORADO SPRINGS. A CUMULUS FIELD
CONTINUES TO DEVELOP EAST OF THE FRONT RANGE NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY.
IF STORMS ARE ABLE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE BOUNDARY THIS AFTN...THERE
WOULD BE AN ISOLD THREAT OF A LANDSPOUT GIVEN THE STEEP LAPSE RATE
ENVIRONMENT WITH UPSLOPE FLOW. IN GENERAL THOUGH...THE ENVIRONMENT
DOES NOT APPEAR AS FAVORABLE FOR WIDESPREAD STORM COVERAGE ON THE CO
PLAINS AS YESTERDAY.
THE MORE PROBABLE SEVERE THREAT WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH ONGOING
STRONG STORMS OVER THE SRN CO MTNS INTO NM. UPSLOPE FLOW REGIME
PERSISTS EAST OF THE MTNS...AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF
30-35 KT EXISTS.
IT IS POSSIBLE THAT STORMS COULD FORM INTO A SMALL MCS...WHICH WOULD
MOVE S/SW DUE TO PROPAGATION AND POSSIBLY AFFECT ABQ/SAF LATER THIS
AFTN. AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE COLD POOL
ORGANIZATION...AND POSSIBLE ENHANCED SEVERE WIND THREAT.
.TAYLOR.. 07/04/2007
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...ABQ...GJT...
34310429 34550663 35340711 37420759 38700692 39740618
39640442 38500318 36850314 35220358
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