Monday, September 10, 2007

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 110028
SWODY1
SPC AC 110026

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0726 PM CDT MON SEP 10 2007

VALID 110100Z - 111200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..ERN NM/WRN TX...

OBSERVATIONAL DATA SHOW STRONG SURFACE COLD FRONT PUSHING SWD
THROUGH E-CNTRL NM AND THE TX S PLAINS THIS EVENING WITH THE MOST
INTENSE TSTM ACTIVITY ALONG OR JUST IN WAKE OF THIS BOUNDARY OVER
TORRANCE AND GUADALUPE COUNTIES NM AS OF 00Z. WHILE CONVECTIVE
INSTABILITY IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG /SBCAPES OF 500-600 J PER
KG/...00Z ABQ SOUNDING INDICATED THE PRESENCE OF RATHER STEEP LAPSE
RATES THROUGH THE LOWEST 5 KM AGL. WHEN COUPLED WITH THE FRONTAL
CONVERGENCE AND TERRAIN...ENVIRONMENT SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
STRONG/MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
EVENING. LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS AND/OR HAIL WILL REMAIN THE
PRIMARY HAZARDS THROUGH 02-03Z. THEREAFTER...STORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO
WEAKEN AS BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS AND STABILIZES.

.MEAD.. 09/11/2007

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