MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1980

ACUS11 KWNS 182044
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 182043
ILZ000-IAZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-182245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1980
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0343 PM CDT TUE SEP 18 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KS...NWRN MO...SRN IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 182043Z - 182245Z

ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL AND/OR WIND WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS BUT A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STORMS HAVE INTENSIFIED ACROSS ERN KS/NWRN MO WITHIN DEEP MOIST
PLUME AND LIKELY AIDED BY SUBTLE LEAD WAVE ALOFT. HIGH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES HAVE BEEN MEASURED WITH GPS SENSORS INDICATING IN
EXCESS OF 1.80 INCHES. ALTHOUGH SHEAR VECTORS ARE NEARLY PARALLEL TO
CURRENT STORM ORIENTATION...ENTIRE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSLATE
EWD INTO A RELATIVELY WARM AND DRY AIR MASS. GIVEN HIGH PRECIPITABLE
WATER CONTENT WITH THESE STORMS ALONG WITH DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY
LAYERS DOWNSTREAM...A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.
HAIL THREAT MAY DECREASE WITH TIME AS MOST UNSTABLE AIR GETS
OVERTURNED AND STORMS BECOME UNDERCUT BY OUTFLOW.

.JEWELL.. 09/18/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...TOP...

38949325 38259407 38219473 38319522 38669528 39829449
40899404 41899329 42229255 42229177 41969109 41509097
40199175

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