SWODY1
SPC AC 090053
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0753 PM CDT MON OCT 08 2007
VALID 090100Z - 091200Z
..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
..PARTS OF NY AND VICINITY...
THOUGH STORM INTENSITY HAS REMAINED VERY LIMITED THIS
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...00Z RAOBS AND LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSES
CONTINUE TO INDICATE INSTABILITY AND SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED
CONVECTION. THOUGH THE LOSS OF DIURNAL HEATING AND SUBSEQUENT
COOLING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER SUGGEST THAT ANY REMAINING SEVERE
THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WANE THROUGH THE EVENING...WILL
MAINTAIN A 5% WIND AREA...AS A VERY LIMITED THREAT FOR BRIEF/LOCALLY
GUSTY WINDS MAY CONTINUE FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS AS STORMS MOVE SEWD
ACROSS PARTS OF NY AND VICINITY.
..ELSEWHERE...
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ALONG THE EWD-MOVING FRONT FROM UPPER MI SWD
INTO NWRN INDIANA...AND THEN SWWD ACROSS THE LOWER OH/MID AND LOWER
MS VALLEYS INTO TX. HOWEVER...LITTLE IF ANY SEVERE THREAT IS
EVIDENT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...WITH MINIMAL
INSTABILITY INDICATED ALONG NRN PORTIONS OF THE FRONT AND MINIMAL
SHEAR FURTHER S WHERE INSTABILITY IS GREATER. THUS -- THOUGH STORMS
WILL LIKELY CONTINUE -- PARTICULARLY OVER THE S CENTRAL CONUS...WILL
DROP BOTH EXISTING LOW-PROBABILITY THREAT AREAS THIS FORECAST.
.GOSS.. 10/09/2007
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