SWODY1
SPC AC 311915
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0215 PM CDT WED OCT 31 2007
VALID 312000Z - 011200Z
..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
..FL...
SHOWERS HAVE RECENTLY INCREASED IN AREAL COVERAGE ACROSS THE SRN FL
PENINSULA WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING IS CERTAINLY ENHANCING AN
OTHERWISE WEAK LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT. VERY MOIST PROFILES WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THIS DEVELOPMENT WITHIN DEEP ENELY FLOW WELL
REMOVED FROM NOEL OFF THE CUBA COAST. AS NOEL LIFTS NORTH SHEAR
PROFILES WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY STRONG TO SUPPORT AT LEAST SOME
ROTATION WITHIN DEEPER/STRONGER UPDRAFTS. THERMAL PROFILES SUGGEST
LIGHTNING WILL REMAIN SPARSE AND ANY TORNADO THREAT SHOULD REMAIN
VERY LOW.
..COLORADO...
STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF SWRN/CNTRL CO
WILL ENHANCE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. LATEST
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUPPORTS RECENT DEVELOPMENT OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE TO DEEPEN WITH
SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY...MUCAPE ON THE ORDER OF 100-200 J/KG...FOR
AT LEAST ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL
QUICKLY DIE WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.
.DARROW.. 10/31/2007
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