SWODY1
SPC AC 010044
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0744 PM CDT WED OCT 31 2007
VALID 010100Z - 011200Z
..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
..SYNOPSIS...
UPPER AIR PATTERN WILL REMAIN DOMINATED BY PROGRESSIVE LOW MOVING
EWD ACROSS NRN ONT AND JAMES BAY REGION...WITH TROUGH EXTENDING SWWD
ACROSS PORTIONS KS/OK THEN WEAK TROUGHING WWD OVER S-CENTRAL
ROCKIES/4-CORNERS REGION.
..SERN FL...
SHEARING PROCESS AS DESCRIBED IN NHC DISCUSSIONS...COMBINED WITH
FCST TRACK OF T.S. NOEL...SHOULD KEEP BULK OF DEEPEST CONVECTION
WELL E AND SE OF SRN FL THROUGH REMAINDER PERIOD. THAT INCLUDES
NERN QUADRANT OF CIRCULATION AND ATTENDANT LOW LEVEL KINEMATIC
SUPPORT FOR SUPERCELLS. ISOLATED THUNDER STILL MAY OCCUR OVER
LAND...ESPECIALLY INVOF E COAST OR KEYS WHERE UPSTREAM MARINE HEAT
FLUXES ASSOCIATED WITH GULF STREAM BOOST BOUNDARY LAYER THETAE
ENOUGH TO COMPENSATE FOR WEAK MID-UPPER LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN
GENERATION OF DEEP BUOYANCY. REF NHC PRODUCTS FOR LATEST GUIDANCE
ON NOEL -- INCLUDING LATEST FCST TRACK...WATCHES AND WARNINGS -- PER
WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC.
.EDWARDS.. 11/01/2007
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