SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060251
MNZ000-IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-060415-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2059
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0951 PM CDT FRI OCT 05 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN NEB/SERN SD/SWRN MN/NWRN IA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 060251Z - 060415Z
ELEVATED STORMS ARE DEVELOPING RAPIDLY ATTM ACROSS N CENTRAL/NERN
NEB. AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WW ISSUANCE.
STORM DEVELOPMENT IS OCCURRING IN CONJUNCTION WITH INCREASING
LOW-LEVEL JET...WITHIN ENVIRONMENT FEATURING 1500 TO 2500 J/KG
ELEVATED CAPE. AN INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE NWD/NEWD INTO SERN SD
AND VICINITY APPEARS POSSIBLE -- DESPITE MODEL FORECASTS -- AS
LOW-LEVEL JET/WARM ADVECTION PERSIST INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
THOUGH SHEAR WITHIN THE UNSTABLE LAYER IS SOMEWHAT WEAK -- WITH ONLY
A MODEST INCREASE IN FLOW WITH HEIGHT...A FEW STRONGER CELLS WILL
LIKELY REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL.
.GOSS.. 10/06/2007
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...LBF...UNR...
42289943 43139953 44129859 44359625 43069590 42329642
41849867
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