SWOMCD
SPC MCD 171124
OKZ000-TXZ000-171330-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2090
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0624 AM CDT WED OCT 17 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/NRN PORTIONS TX PANHANDLE...CENTRAL/ERN
PANHANDLE OF OK...PARTS OF SWRN/W-CENTRAL KS.
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 707...
VALID 171124Z - 171330Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 707
CONTINUES.
HOWEVER...SVR POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING FROM W-E ACROSS
NRN/WRN PORTIONS WW AREA. SEVERAL SWRN KS COUNTIES HAVE BEEN
CLEARED ALREADY...AND ADDITIONAL CLEARANCE AND/OR CANCELLATION MAY
BE NEEDED BEFORE SCHEDULED 14Z EXPIRATION IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE
AND NO ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY DEVELOPS.
LINE OF TSTMS WAS EVIDENT AT 1115Z FROM ROBERTS/OCHILTREE COUNTIES
SWWD TO CARSON COUNTY...MOVING MOSTLY ENEWD INTO WW 706. REF SPC
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2089 FOR MORE DETAILS. WHILE PORTIONS SWRN KS
REMAIN FAVORABLY UNSTABLE ABOVE SFC TO SUPPORT STG-SVR
CONVECTION...STRONGEST DEEP-LAYER ASCENT MAY BE BYPASSING THIS AREA
TO THE S IN FORM OF DPVA AHEAD OF EJECTING NM TROUGH...AND TO THE E
IN THE FORM OF LOW LEVEL WAA THAT IS CONTRIBUTING TO MAINTENANCE OF
CENTRAL KS ACTIVITY.
.EDWARDS.. 10/17/2007
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...
34909860 33829936 33339988 32910058 32930126 33420189
34550194 35740078 36939850
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