SWODY1
SPC AC 160538
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1138 PM CST THU NOV 15 2007
VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
..SRN ROCKIES...
LATE EVENING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER
NWRN MEXICO AND ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL MOISTURE ARE LIFTING NEWD
TOWARD THE SRN ROCKIES. THIS MID LEVEL MOISTURE PLUME WILL PROVE
INSTRUMENTAL IN CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS 12-14Z
ALONG THE AZ/NM BORDER. FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR THIS REGION INDICATE
SIGNIFICANT MOISTENING WITHIN 750-600MB LAYER...YIELDING ROUGHLY
200-300 J/KG MUCAPE. IT APPEARS SCATTERED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL SPREAD/DEVELOP EAST DURING THE DAY STRONGLY INFLUENCED BY LARGE
SCALE ASCENT. DIURNAL HEATING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN MAY ALSO
CONTRIBUTE TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AS BOUNDARY LAYER LAPSE RATES
STEEPEN. GREATEST THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE SHOULD BE MAINLY ACROSS NRN
PORTIONS OF MEXICO WITH ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO DECREASE MARKEDLY AFTER
00Z.
.DARROW.. 11/16/2007
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