Tuesday, November 27, 2007

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 271245
SWODY1
SPC AC 271242

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0642 AM CST TUE NOV 27 2007

VALID 271300Z - 281200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..FL...
SURFACE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY SAGGING SWD INTO NRN FL WILL LIKELY
STALL AND POSSIBLY BEGIN TO DISSIPATE OVER CENTRAL FL DURING THE
PERIOD IN WAKE OF STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM EJECTING NEWD INTO
THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. NARROW AREA OF MUCAPE AT TBW THIS MORNING
MAY SUPPORT SOME MOIST CONVECTION AND POSSIBLY A FEW WEAK
THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THIS FRONT INTO THE EVENING.

..NWRN ORE/WA COAST...
MODIFIED SLE SOUNDING AT 12Z INDICATES SHALLOW SBCAPE SHOULD DEVELOP
THIS MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON WITH WEAK DIURNAL HEATING...SUPPORTING
SHALLOW MOIST CONVECTION AND POSSIBLE A LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO.
CONVECTION WILL LIKELY DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON AS WARMER AIR AROUND
H7 BEGINS OVERSPREADING THE REGION. OVERALL POTENTIAL APPEARS TOO
LOW TO WARRANT A 10% GENERAL THUNDERSTORM AREA ATTM.

.EVANS/LEVIT.. 11/27/2007

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