Sunday, November 18, 2007

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 180616
SWODY2
SPC AC 180614

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1214 AM CST SUN NOV 18 2007

VALID 191200Z - 201200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
ERN U.S. UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE OFFSHORE DURING THE FIRST
HALF OF THE PERIOD...WITH A SECOND TROUGH PROGGED TO MOVE
INTO/ACROSS THE WRN CONUS. IN BETWEEN...A LARGE/FLAT RIDGE WILL
PREVAIL.

AT THE SURFACE...A LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE WRN UPPER TROUGH IS
FORECAST TO MOVE SEWD/ESEWD OUT OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS
DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD. ELSEWHERE...A LARGE AREA OF
HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD PREVAIL ACROSS THE ERN AND S CENTRAL STATES.

SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE TX GULF COAST...WHERE MOIST/MINIMALLY-UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL
LINGER. SHOWERS AND A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY ALSO OCCUR NEAR THE
WA COAST DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD...AS MID-LEVEL TROUGH
AND ASSOCIATED -30 TO -34 H5 TEMPERATURES MOVE ONSHORE. ELEVATED
SHOWERS -- AND PERHAPS A LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO -- MAY ALSO SPREAD
ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID/UPPER OH VALLEYS...WITHIN ZONE OF WARM
ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WLY LOW-LEVEL JET. OVERALL
HOWEVER...THUNDER THREAT SHOULD REMAIN LOW...AND SEVERE THREAT
BASICALLY NON-EXISTENT THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.GOSS.. 11/18/2007

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