SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142009
VAZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-142145-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2144
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0209 PM CST WED NOV 14 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST KY AND MIDDLE/EASTERN TN
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 142009Z - 142145Z
A MARGINAL/ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT MAY SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST KY AND EAST CENTRAL TN TOWARD THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU
VICINITY THROUGH MID/LATE AFTERNOON. A SEVERE WATCH IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.
STRONG/ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE TO SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS FAR
SOUTH CENTRAL KY/MIDDLE TN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS HAVE
HAD A HISTORY OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS...INCLUDING RECENT SEVERE REPORTS NEAR THE NASHVILLE AREA AS
OF 1945Z. AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...PARTIAL SUNSHINE AND A SOUTHWEST
FEED OF MOIST/MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SOME
ADDITIONAL DESTABILIZATION OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS SOUTHEAST
KY AND THE REMAINDER OF MIDDLE/EASTERN TN. WHILE TOTAL INSTABILITY
IS SOMEWHAT LIMITED AT AROUND 500 J/KG MLCAPE...VEERING WIND
PROFILES WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 35-40 KT HAS SUPPORTED SOME
MARGINAL/YET PERSISTENT UPDRAFT ROTATION ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN
KY/MIDDLE TN...WHICH HAS SEEMINGLY AIDED THE PRODUCTION OF
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. WHILE AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT MAY EXTEND
INTO SOUTHEAST KY AND THE REMAINDER OF MIDDLE/PORTIONS OF EASTERN TN
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...A WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
.GUYER.. 11/14/2007
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...HUN...
37048623 38018425 37328328 36548342 35658447 35118577
35298714 35788731
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