Sunday, January 13, 2008

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 140100
SWODY1
SPC AC 140057

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0657 PM CST SUN JAN 13 2008

VALID 140100Z - 141200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE OH AND TN VALLEYS WILL MOVE EWD
ACROSS THE APPALACHIAN MTNS TONIGHT. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT IN
CNTRL FL WILL ADVANCE SWD ACROSS SRN FL THIS EVENING. SOUTH OF THE
BOUNDARY...SFC DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE 60S F BUT INSTABILITY HAS
WEAKENED SUBSTANTIALLY OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. IN ADDITION...THE
STRONGER CONVECTION NORTHEAST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE HAS MOVED EWD OFF
THE FL EAST COAST. THESE TWO FACTORS SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR
ORGANIZED STORMS HAS DECREASED ACROSS THE PENINSULA THIS EVENING.
FURTHER NORTHEAST ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST...ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS ONGOING JUST OFFSHORE SE FROM VIRGINIA
BEACH. THIS ACTIVITY MAY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND MOVE NNEWD ALONG
THE COAST AS A SFC LOW DRIFTS NNEWD TOWARD CAPE COD TONIGHT.
INSTABILITY SHOULD REMAIN VERY WEAK NORTH OF THE SFC LOW AND THE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN DISORGANIZED.

.BROYLES.. 01/14/2008

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