SWODY1
SPC AC 020322
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK RESENT 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0922 PM CST FRI FEB 01 2008
VALID 020100Z - 021200Z
..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
..NORTHERN ATLANTIC SEABOARD...
A VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE IMPULSE WILL LIFT NORTHEAST OF THE UPPER OHIO
THROUGH MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHEAST STATES BY 02/12Z.
MODELS INDICATE THAT THIS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A CONSOLIDATING/
DEEPENING SURFACE LOW ACROSS THE HUDSON/CHAMPLAIN VALLEY INTO NEW
ENGLAND. BUT...ANY LOW-LEVEL MOISTENING INLAND OF COASTAL AREAS
APPEARS LIKELY TO OCCUR ABOVE A LINGERING COLD STABLE BOUNDARY
LAYER. AND...EVEN THIS WILL BE WEAK WITH THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
BOUNDARY LAYER SLOW TO MODIFY IN THE WAKE OF THE RECENT COLD
INTRUSION. MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS DO INDICATE THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHALLOW WEAK CAPE IN THE WARM FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND...PRIOR TO THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. BUT...THIS IS
GENERALLY NOT PROGGED TO EXTEND THROUGH THE FAVORABLE MIXED PHASE
LAYER SUPPORTIVE OF CHARGE SEPARATION/CLOUD ELECTRIFICATION.
POTENTIAL FOR EVEN WEAK THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SEEMS NEGLIGIBLE
TONIGHT.
.KERR.. 02/02/2008
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