Tuesday, March 25, 2008

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 251231
SWODY1
SPC AC 251228

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0728 AM CDT TUE MAR 25 2008

VALID 251300Z - 261200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
ZONAL FLOW WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NATION THIS PERIOD AS SHORTWAVE
TROUGH CONTINUES E INTO THE ATLANTIC. A SERIES OF LOW AMPLITUDE
DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE E ACROSS THE NE PACIFIC AS LARGER SCALE
TROUGH NOW OVER THE GULF OF AK PROGRESSES SLOWLY EWD. STEEP
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND UPSLOPE FLOW ON N SIDE OF ASSOCIATED JET
MAY YIELD ISOLD LIGHTNING STRIKES AS THE DISTURBANCES AFFECT WRN WA
AND NW ORE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

ELSEWHERE...LOW-LEVEL WAA WILL PERSIST OVER THE OZARKS THIS
PERIOD...IN EXIT REGION OF LLJ ASSOCIATED WITH DEVELOPING LEE LOW
OVER THE CNTRL/SRN HI PLNS. WHILE SOME ELEVATED CONVECTION MAY
DEVELOP ACROSS SRN MO/NRN AR AND NE OK EARLY WEDNESDAY...ANTECEDENT
DRY CONDITIONS UPSTREAM ACROSS NE MEXICO AND TX...AND STRENGTHENING
EML CAP...SUGGEST THAT DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION WILL BE
INSUFFICIENT FOR THUNDER.

.CORFIDI/HURLBUT.. 03/25/2008

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