Saturday, March 29, 2008

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 300102
SWODY1
SPC AC 300059

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0759 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

VALID 300100Z - 301200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST TX INTO THE ARKLATEX/OZARKS...
WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL TX HILL
COUNTRY/EAST CENTRAL TX AND NORTHERN LA EARLY THIS EVENING...WITH
60S/LOWER 70S F DEWPOINTS COMMON IN THE AMBIENT WARM MOIST SECTOR
ACROSS EAST TX/MUCH OF LA. IT APPEARS ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS THROUGH THE EVENING/NIGHT.
THIS SEEMS ESPECIALLY LIKELY AS STORMS CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD/INCREASE IN COVERAGE...AND BECOME PROGRESSIVELY
ELEVATED...ACROSS THE ARKLATEX/OZARKS VICINITY TONIGHT AMIDST AN
INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET/ELEVATED MOISTURE TRANSPORT
REGIME. 00Z OBSERVED RAOBS FROM DALLAS-FORT WORTH/NORMAN/SHREVEPORT
ALL FEATURED STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WITH MUCAPE IN EXCESS OF
1500 J/KG. THIS AMPLE INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH AROUND 35-40 KT OF
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR WILL FAVOR ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL INTO THE
OVERNIGHT.

.GUYER.. 03/30/2008

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

No comments: