SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050012
GAZ000-SCZ000-ALZ000-050115-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0560
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0712 PM CDT FRI APR 04 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN AL...NRN HALF OF GA...NWRN SC
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 165...
VALID 050012Z - 050115Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 165 CONTINUES.
THREAT FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES CONTINUES ACROSS ERN AL...NRN GA...AND NWRN SC THROUGH
0200 UTC.
LATEST RADAR OBSERVATIONS DEPICT THREE BANDS OF THUNDERSTORMS
ORIENTED SW TO NE ACROSS THE REGION. THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN ACTIVE
NEAR AND SOUTH OF A CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM 15 E OF MGM TO
30 S ATL NEWD TO 60 W OF AHN. THE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT IS
CHARACTERIZED AS WEAKLY TO MARGINALLY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPES BETWEEN
300-1000 J/KG. THE MAINTENANCE OR DEVELOPMENT OF LOW LEVEL
MESOCYCLONES SHOULD TREND DOWNWARD WITH TIME AS THE LOW LEVEL JET
AXIS SHIFTS EWD OVER THE CAROLINAS THIS EVENING. DESPITE WEAKENING
LOW LEVEL SHEAR...RECENT ATL WSR 88-D VAD WINDS DISPLAY STRONG
UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES.../IN EXCESS OF 50 KTS 0-6
KM SHEAR/. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT THE CONTINUATION OF AN ORGANIZED
SEVERE THREAT WITH SUPERCELLS AND BOW SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF MAINLY
LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL...BUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO
CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
.SMITH.. 04/05/2008
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...FFC...BMX...MOB...
32878522 33418439 34008378 34598334 34948305 35048264
34828246 32938230 32538338 32098491 31928540 31928631
32118655
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