SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100241 COR
NCZ000-SCZ000-100345-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0848
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0941 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL INTO SERN NC
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 100241Z - 100345Z
CORRECTED WEB GRAPHIC
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE INCREASING EWD ACROSS CENTRAL NC LATE
THIS EVENING IN PHASE WITH LARGER MID LEVEL TROUGH MOVING TOWARDS
THE EAST COAST. LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD
ACCOMPANY STRONGER CORES AND WW MAY BE NEEDED SHOULD UPWARD TRENDS
IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE CONTINUE.
AIR MASS REMAINS CHARACTERIZED BY VERY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
ACROSS THE REGION WITH GSO SOUNDING THIS EVENING INDICATING H7-H5 LR
IN EXCESS OF 8 C/KM. SURFACE PATTERN IS COMPLEX THIS EVENING WITH
E-W COOL FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS CENTRAL NC...WHILE ADDITIONAL COLD
FRONT PUSHES EWD ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS ASSOCIATED WITH MAIN TROUGH
ALOFT. DESPITE MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND LIMITED SURFACE-BASED
PARCEL POTENTIAL...DEEP LAYER SHEAR REMAINS SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS
WHICH SHOULD BOOST THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL WITH THE STRONGER CORES.
AN ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND EVENT ALSO REMAINS POSSIBLE. AM
MONITORING FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE TSTM WATCH SHOULD THREAT BECOME MORE
THAN JUST MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.
..EVANS.. 05/10/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CAE...GSP...
36008038 35807832 35117626 34297656 34077754 34868046
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