SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190029
OKZ000-TXZ000-NMZ000-190130-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1464
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0729 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NM / PARTS OF THE TX PANHANDLE
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 570...
VALID 190029Z - 190130Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 570
CONTINUES.
AN INCREASE IN STORM INTENSITY OVER THE NRN HALF OF WW 570 HAS BEEN
OBSERVED OVER THE PAST HALF HOUR. TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED ON
WHETHER A LOCAL WW EXTENSION-IN-AREA MAY BE NEEDED.
RECENT RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS HARTLEY CO. TX STORM AND ROOSEVELT/CURRY
CO. NM STORM HAVE MOVED INTO HIGHER MOISTURE/CROSSED DIFFERENTIAL
MOISTURE BOUNDARY. CONSISTENT PRESSURE FALLS OF 1MB/HR HAVE
OCCURRED ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON...PERHAPS AIDING IN
THE ELY COMPONENT TO MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THE ERN PART OF THE TX
PANHANDLE. AT THIS TIME...EXPECTING STORMS TO AT LEAST SUSTAIN
THEMSELVES DUE TO THE MODEST INSTABILITY /500-1500 J/KG MLCAPE/ AND
STRONGER DEEP FLOW RESIDING ACROSS THE NRN PART OF WW 570. STORMS
THAT DEVELOP IN THE NRN PART OF THE WATCH WILL BE CAPABLE OF LARGE
HAIL /PERHAPS ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT/ AND DAMAGING WINDS.
..SMITH.. 06/19/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...
31980481 32510486 32510532 33150529 33140489 34340488
34370528 35040528 35060573 35910572 35770437 36190439
36230399 36980397 36980094 36500096 36490158 34720163
34730199 34320200 34310257 32960258 32950302 32000307
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