Wednesday, July 23, 2008

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1887

ACUS11 KWNS 240126
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240126
MAZ000-RIZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-240230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1887
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0826 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...NY MA CT RI NJ PA MD DE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 240126Z - 240230Z

A NEW SEVERE TSTM WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS
PARTS OF THE MID ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST. COORDINATION ON A PROPOSED
WATCH WILL OCCUR SHORTLY.

NUMEROUS CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE
FROM THE DELMARVA NWD ACROSS THE NYC/BOS METRO AREAS THROUGH TONIGHT
AS POTENT UPPER TROUGH OVER OH VALLEY CONTINUES TO TAKE ON NEGATIVE
TILT...SPREADS EAST...AND MAINTAINS ASCENT ACROSS THE REGION.
DESPITE WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING...PLENTIFUL DEEP-LAYER
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO FUEL THUNDERSTORMS IN AN ENVIRONMENT
CHARACTERIZED BY STRONG FORCING AND SHEAR. IN ADDITION TO HEAVY
RAINFALL/FLOODING THREAT...SMALL SCALE LEWPS/BOWS MAY OCCASIONALLY
EMERGE FROM THE GENERALLY SW-NE BAND OF INTENSE FRONTAL CONVECTION
NOW ESTABLISHED ALONG MUCH OF THE ERN SEABOARD.
UNCHARACTERISTICALLY...TIME OF DAY MAY NOT BE ENOUGH OF A LIMITING
FACTOR TO PRECLUDE ANOTHER SEVERE TSTM WATCH BEING NEEDED FOR PARTS
OF THE AREA AND WATCH COORDINATION WILL COMMENCE SHORTLY.

..CARBIN.. 07/24/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX...

42657336 42347081 41717074 41007197 40417351 38917483
38797600 39637618 41107519 42337443

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