SWOMCD
SPC MCD 160837
TXZ000-NMZ000-160900-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2102
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0337 AM CDT SAT AUG 16 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN TX PANHANDLE
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 835...
VALID 160837Z - 160900Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 835
CONTINUES.
SLOW MOVEMENT OF TSTMS EXTENDING FROM HALE COUNTY TX TO NERN EDDY
COUNTY NM COMBINED WITH A CONTINUED DIMINISHING TREND IN AVAILABLE
INSTABILITY SUGGESTS OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL FURTHER
DECREASE EARLY THIS MORNING.
AT 0830Z...REGIONAL RADAR TRENDS INDICATED A CIRCULATION/APPARENT
MCV WITH THE TSTM COMPLEX OVER THE SRN TX PANHANDLE...WITH THIS MCV
CENTERED OVER PARMER COUNTY. RECENT CLOUD TOP COOLING PER IR
SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED LINE OF STORMS IS LIKELY
ASSOCIATED WITH ASCENT AHEAD OF THE MCV AND SOME INCREASE IN LOW
LEVEL WAA. THIS ASCENT SHOULD MAINTAIN A THREAT FOR TSTMS SPREADING
SEWD ACROSS W TX...BUT THE LACK OF GREATER INSTABILITY AND OVERALL
SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY PRECLUDE THE DEVELOPMENT
OF ADDITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER.
..PETERS.. 08/16/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...
32960308 33640301 33820263 34250243 34760177 34160142
33510053 32950050
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