Friday, September 26, 2008

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2290

ACUS11 KWNS 260634
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260634
NCZ000-VAZ000-260800-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2290
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0134 AM CDT FRI SEP 26 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 260634Z - 260800Z

AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT WILL CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS
CNTRL AND ERN NC. THE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MARGINAL AND A WW
IS NOT ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE REGION ATTM.

LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS 998 MB LOW OVER FAR ERN SC WITH RAINBANDS
WRAPPING AROUND THE LOW ACROSS ERN SC AND CNTRL NC. A CONFLUENCE
ZONE AND QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT EXISTS ALONG I-95 IN ERN NC. THE
MOST PROMINENT RAINBAND IS LOCATED PERPENDICULAR TO THE BOUNDARY
FROM NEAR GREENSBORO NC ESEWD TO NEAR GREENVILLE NC. WSR-88D VWPS IN
ERN NC ALONG THIS BOUNDARY SHOW LOOPED HODOGRAPHS WITH 0-1 KM SHEAR
VALUES AROUND 35 KT. AS THE MORE ORGANIZED ROTATING STORMS EMBEDDED
IN THE RAINBAND MOVE WNWWD ACROSS THIS BOUNDARY EARLY THIS
MORNING...THE STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR A
MARGINAL TORNADO THREAT.

..BROYLES.. 09/26/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...

36887609 36047536 34507642 34687756 35317764 36257716

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