SWODY1
SPC AC 181941
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0241 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2008
VALID 182000Z - 191200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...PACIFIC NW INTO THE NRN INTERMOUNTAIN W...
SW-NE ORIENTED BAROCLINIC ZONE SHOULD SETTLE SLOWLY SEWD INTO WRN MT
THROUGH SRN ORE THIS FORECAST PERIOD. CURRENT FORECAST REMAINS ON
TRACK WITH A GENERALLY LOW THREAT FOR AFTERNOON AND EVENING TSTMS IN
THE VICINITY OF THE SURFACE FRONT. WEAK HEIGHT FALLS SPREADING EWD
ACROSS THIS REGION COMBINED WITH WEAK INSTABILITY ARE EXPECTED TO
LIMIT THE THREAT FOR TSTMS.
...OUTER BANKS OF NC...
LATEST MODEL DATA /18Z RUC/15Z NAMKF/ REMAIN CONSISTENT SHOWING
MID-LEVEL COOLING TO BE MOST PRONOUNCED THIS EVENING AS SHORT WAVE
TROUGH CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL/SRN APPALACHIANS
PROGRESSES EWD. THIS WILL STEEPEN LAPSE RATES AND ALLOW FOR CHARGE
SEPARATION WITH PERHAPS A FEW ELEVATED TSTMS NEAR THE OUTER BANKS.
MUCH HIGHER TSTM PROBABILITIES WILL REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE AS
CYCLOGENESIS OCCURS ALONG REMNANT FRONTAL ZONE OVER THE GULF STREAM.
..PETERS.. 10/18/2008
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment