Tuesday, October 14, 2008

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 141239
SWODY1
SPC AC 141236

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0736 AM CDT TUE OCT 14 2008

VALID 141300Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

STRONG UPPER TROUGH OVER EASTERN AZ WILL LIFT NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND WEAKEN TODAY...WHILE UPPER RIDGE REMAINS
ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES. THE PRIMARY FOCUS FOR
PRECIPITATION WILL BE THE SURFACE COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM WEST TX
INTO CENTRAL OK AND CENTRAL MO. ISENTROPIC LIFT ALONG AND NORTH OF
FRONT WILL PROMOTE SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MUCH
OF THE DAY FROM EASTERN NM INTO WESTERN OK. FARTHER EAST...A WEAKLY
CAPPED WARM SECTOR WILL SEE SUFFICIENT INSOLATION FOR A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS DURING MAX HEATING OVER PARTS OF EASTERN OK/TX AND
MUCH OF AR/LA. POOR MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND RATHER WEAK VERTICAL
SHEAR THROUGHOUT THE SOUTHERN PLAINS IS EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE
ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS TODAY.

..HART/JEWELL.. 10/14/2008

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

No comments: