SWODY2
SPC AC 250540
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1140 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2009
VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SRN GRT BASIN...
POS-TILT UPR TROUGH MOVING INTO THE WRN GRT BASIN AT 06Z WILL BE
SLOW TO EJECT EWD THROUGH THE GRT BASIN/SWRN STATES THROUGH MONDAY.
ACCOMPANYING MINUS 25-30 DEG C H5 TEMPS WILL STEEPEN LAPSE RATES
ALONG CYCLONIC SIDE OF A STRENGTHENING 100+ KT MID-LVL
JET...CREATING SUFFICIENT BUOYANCY FOR SPORADIC TSTMS. HIGHEST TSTM
PROBS ON MONDAY WILL EXIST FROM NWRN AZ/SWRN UT EWD INTO THE
FOUR-CORNERS REGION WHERE MUCAPE WILL RANGE UP TO A COUPLE HUNDRED J
PER KG.
...ERN OK/SRN MO/NWRN AR...
COUPLED ULVL JET STRUCTURE DVLPG OVER THE MIDWEST WILL INDUCE A
MODEST SWLY LLVL FLOW REGIME FROM CNTRL TX NEWD TOWARD THE OZARKS BY
LATE MONDAY. THE LLJ WILL IMPINGE ON A QSTNRY BAROCLINIC ZONE WITH
STRONGEST WARM/MOIST ADVECTION SPREADING FROM CNTRL/ERN OK NEWD INTO
PARTS OF THE OZARKS MONDAY NIGHT. FCST SOUNDINGS INDICATE
SUFFICIENT ELEVATED BUOYANCY FOR PSBL TSTMS...PARTICULARLY AFT
09Z/27.
..RACY.. 01/25/2009
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