SWODY3
SPC AC 240659
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1259 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2009
VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS/FCST...
PRIMARY CONVECTIVE INTEREST WILL BE ACROSS THE GRT BASIN AND SWRN
STATES ON MONDAY. MODEL DIFFERENCES CONTINUE WITH THE HANDLING OF
THE UPR SYSTEM DIGGING INTO CA/WRN GRT BASIN...WITH LATEST PREFERRED
ECMWF SUGGESTING MORE SUBSTANTIAL PHASING WITH THE POLAR STREAM.
THIS RESULTS IN A FARTHER E TRACK OF THE DISTURBANCE AND A DECIDEDLY
POS-TILT LARGER SCALE TROUGH FROM HUDSON BAY TO SRN CA. WDLY SCTD
NON-SVR TSTMS WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY THE TROUGH... PRIMARILY OVER
PARTS OF SRN CA NEWD INTO SRN UT.
FARTHER E...PRESSURE FALLS ACROSS THE DESERTS WILL INDUCE
STRENGTHENING RETURN FLOW ACROSS TX. WHILE BOUNDARY LAYER MSTR WILL
INCREASE ALONG/S OF THE RED RVR VLY...AIR MASS SHOULD REMAIN CAPPED
WITH ONLY SHALLOW CONVECTION PSBL.
..RACY.. 01/24/2009
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