SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102145
TXZ000-102315-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0086
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0345 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 102145Z - 102315Z
STORM DEVELOPMENT APPEARS LIKELY ACROSS SRN PORTIONS OF WW 008 AND
SWD ACROSS CENTRAL TX TOWARD JCT. WW WILL BE EXTENDED SWD TO
ENCLOSE THIS THREAT.
LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT SURGING EWD ACROSS THE
TRANSPECOS REGION ATTM. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH/OVERTAKE
THE DRYLINE IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS...INVOF A LINE EXTENDING FROM
ROUGHLY ABI TO SJT. AS THIS OCCURS...EXPECT NEW STORM TO DEVELOP S
OF ONGOING CONVECTION -- WHOSE SRN END EXTENDS INTO AREAS N OF ABI
ATTM. WHILE STORM MODE WILL LIKELY BECOME LINEAR AS STORMS DEVELOP
IN THIS AREA...STRENGTHENING DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD WILL SUPPORT
EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS. THUS -- ALONG WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL POTENTIAL...ISOLATED TORNADOES APPEAR POSSIBLE.
..GOSS.. 02/10/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...
LAT...LON 33369960 33419876 33119800 31869847 30469880 30190040
30810093 32539993 33369960
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