WOUS40 KWNS 091634
PWOSPC
KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-100030-
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1134 AM CDT TUE JUN 09 2009
...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL OVER PARTS
OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
PARTS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
PARTS OF NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
ELSEWHERE...SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS MISSOURI FROM LATER THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE NIGHT.
A WARM AND VERY MOIST AIRMASS RESIDES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THIS MORNING ALONG AND SOUTH OF WARM FRONT SITUATED FROM SOUTHEAST
COLORADO ACROSS SOUTHERN PARTS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI. MEANWHILE...A
MID LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCE...AND INCREASING MID LEVEL FLOW
ASSOCIATED WITH A JET STREAK...WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM ARIZONA/NEW
MEXICO THIS MORNING...TO MISSOURI BY TONIGHT. LIFT WITH THIS
DISTURBANCE...COMBINED WITH VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS NEAR THE WARM
FRONT...WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SIGNIFICANT SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT TODAY FROM SOUTHERN KANSAS/NORTHERN OKLAHOMA EASTWARD
ACROSS MISSOURI.
THE WARM FRONT WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR POTENTIALLY LONG-TRACK
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. VERY LARGE/DESTRUCTIVE HAIL ALSO
APPEARS POSSIBLE FROM THESE STORMS. EVENTUALLY...STORM MERGERS AND
AN INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE SHOULD LEAD TO A MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE
COMPLEX. THIS COMPLEX MAY GO ON TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL AS IT TRACKS EAST ACROSS MISSOURI THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.
STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE
WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA
WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER
TODAY.
..MEAD/CARBIN.. 06/09/2009
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