SWOMCD
SPC MCD 091611
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-091745-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1002
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1111 AM CDT TUE JUN 09 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CNTRL AND ERN KS INTO WRN MO
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 354...
VALID 091611Z - 091745Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 354
CONTINUES.
THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER CONTINUES ACROSS WW AREA WITH AN
INCREASING THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS FROM NEAR OR N OF EMP ESEWD INTO
W CNTRL MO.
RECENT TRENDS IN VISIBLE SATELLITE AND VOLUMETRIC RADAR DATA
INDICATE THE DEVELOPMENT OF VIGOROUS TSTMS ALONG SRN EDGE OF
EVOLVING MCS WITH THE MOST INTENSE CELL LOCATED OVER MORRIS COUNTY
KS AS OF 16Z. THIS STORM APPEARS TO BE SITUATED JUST N OF SURFACE
WARM FRONT WHICH EXTENDS FROM N OF DDC TO NEAR EMP TO N OF SGF.
GIVEN THE SLIGHT ACCELERATION NOTED WITHIN THE PAST FEW VOLUME
SCANS...IT APPEARS THAT THIS STRONGER ACTIVITY IS BEGINNING TO
EXHIBIT SOME FORWARD PROPAGATION.
IMMEDIATE INFLOW AIR MASS OVER S-CNTRL/SERN KS IS ALREADY QUITE
MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE OF 1500-2000 J/KG.
MOREOVER...EVOLVING N-S CONVECTIVE BAND IS ORIENTED LARGELY NORMAL
TO MODERATELY STRONG MID AND HIGH-LEVEL WIND FIELDS. AS
SUCH...SETUP IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR THE EVOLUTION OF
A BOWING SYSTEM WHICH WOULD MOVE/PROPAGATE ESEWD ALONG IMMEDIATE
COOL SIDE OF WARM FRONT. SHOULD THIS EVOLUTION TAKE PLACE...THE
POTENTIAL WOULD EXIST FOR A CORRIDOR OF DAMAGING WINDS ALONG SYSTEM
PATH.
..MEAD.. 06/09/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...
LAT...LON 40109790 40089518 39739521 39469404 39079399 38649247
37839221 37299301 37079414 37279530 37579667 38179827
40069809 40109790
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