SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051821
KYZ000-TNZ000-051915-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1441
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0121 PM CDT SUN JUL 05 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...KY...TN
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 051821Z - 051915Z
SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE INCREASING ACROSS MUCH OF KY INTO MIDDLE
TN. WW MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THIS ACTIVITY.
A MARKED INCREASE IN CONVECTION IS NOTED ACROSS KY INTO MIDDLE TN
FOCUSED NEAR SFC LOW AND ALONG COLD FRONT. THIS ACTIVITY IS
DEVELOPING WITHIN A MODESTLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT...ESPECIALLY OVER
TN WHERE MLCAPE VALUES ARE ON THE ORDER OF 2000 J/KG. ALTHOUGH
VERTICAL SHEAR IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG...CERTAINLY SUPPORTIVE OF
MULTI-CELL OR PERHAPS A FEW SUPERCELLS...NUMEROUS UPDRAFTS AND
LIKELY CLUSTERING SUGGEST LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.
..DARROW.. 07/05/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...
LAT...LON 35538906 37638557 37298322 35988492 35298699 35538906
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