SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051923
COZ000-NMZ000-052100-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1443
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0223 PM CDT SUN JUL 05 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SERN CO...NERN NM
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 051923Z - 052100Z
A FEW STORMS WILL PRODUCE SEVERE HAIL GENERALLY 1.00" OR LESS.
DEPENDING ON EXPECTED SEVERE COVERAGE...A WATCH COULD BE ISSUED.
WEAK UPSLOPE FLOW AND CONTINUED HEATING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
ADDITIONAL STORM FORMATION OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF SERN CO/NE NM.
DEEP LAYER FLOW IS STRONG ENOUGH TO GET STORMS MOVING SEWD OFF THE
FRONT RANGE WITH AN UNCAPPED ATMOSPHERE TO ABOUT THE WRN KS BORDER
AS OF 19Z. DEWPOINTS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S F AND PEAK HEATING
SHOULD RESULT IN A FEW CORES PRODUCING SEVERE HAIL...DESPITE
RELATIVELY WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES.
..JEWELL.. 07/05/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...ABQ...
LAT...LON 36970613 38070612 38820570 39230514 39090384 38840323
38040303 36890307 35420307 34810316 34730368 34790514
35370561 36290595 36970613
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