SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052222
NCZ000-052315-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1448
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0522 PM CDT SUN JUL 05 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NC
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 052222Z - 052315Z
TSTMS...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE...WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS ERN NC
EARLY THIS EVENING...WITH THE MOST WWD ACTIVITY CURRENTLY LOCATED
NEAR AND E OF GSB EXPECTED TO REACH THE ATLANTIC COAST BY 01Z.
GIVEN SHORT DURATION OF THIS POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT AREA...
A WW IS NOT WARRANTED.
REGIONAL RADARS/OBJECTIVE ANALYSES INDICATED CURRENT TSTMS ARE
TRACKING EWD ALONG AN INSTABILITY GRADIENT WITH MLCAPE VALUES
RANGING FROM 500-1000 J/KG. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATED AN
APPARENT WEAK MID LEVEL IMPULSE TRACKING EWD INTO NERN NC. FORCING
FOR ASCENT WITH THIS FEATURE COMBINED WITH THE AVAILABLE INSTABILITY
AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR /30-40 KT/ SUGGESTS THE STRONGER CORES MAY
ATTAIN ORGANIZATION WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR ISOLATED STRONG
WIND GUSTS AND/OR HAIL.
..PETERS.. 07/05/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...
LAT...LON 35527783 36147696 36407577 36337536 35157537 34467626
34517687 34897779 35137807 35527783
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment