Monday, August 10, 2009

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1860

ACUS11 KWNS 102227
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102226
OKZ000-110100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1860
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0526 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...NCNTRL...NERN...ECNTRL OK

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL

VALID 102226Z - 110100Z

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT FROM BACKBUILDING/TRAINING
ECHOES...MOST LIKELY IN A 70 MILE CORRIDOR CENTERED FROM 35S
KPNC-20S KTUL-KFSM. HOURLY RATES WILL RANGE FROM 1.5-2.5 INCHES.

TSTMS THAT DEVELOPED INVOF AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY OVER NRN OK EARLY
THIS AFTN HAVE GROWN INTO SMALL CLUSTERS EARLY THIS EVENING.
PARCELS FEEDING THE STORMS ARE VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AND RECENT
GPS PWAT PLOTS SUGGEST VALUES IN EXCESS OF 1.8 INCHES. PROPAGATION
VECTORS THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING SUGGEST A SLOW SOUTHEAST MOTION
AND THERE WILL BE A TENDENCY TO BACKBUILD OVER NCNTRL OK AT THE
IMPINGEMENT OF THE WEAK LLJ AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FOR SEVERAL HOURS.
ADDITIONALLY...OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MOVING SWWD INTO THE TSTM CLUSTER
ALONG I-35 MAY AUGMENT UPDRAFTS WITH VERY EFFICIENT RAINFALL ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NCNTRL OK BETWEEN STILLWATER AND TULSA THROUGH 00Z.

..RACY.. 08/10/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

LAT...LON 36229708 36549687 36489555 36249494 36199470 35829451
35239465 35229556 35339647 35629721 35929748 36229708

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