SWODY1
SPC AC 130041
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0641 PM CST THU NOV 12 2009
VALID 130100Z - 131200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...NRN NC OUTER BANKS NWD INTO TIDEWATER VA...
00Z SFC ANALYSIS PLACES A 995 MB LOW JUST S OF KHAT. WELL-
ESTABLISHED WARM CONVEYOR WAS ARCING FROM 50-70 NM E-N OF THE LOW
CENTER WITH CONSIDERABLE EMBEDDED TSTMS PRIMARILY LOCATED OVER THE
GULF STREAM.
LAST IN A SERIES OF MID-LVL VORTICITY SPOKES WAS ROTATING ENE FROM
THE CAROLINAS THIS EVENING. SFC LOW WILL REMAIN QSTNRY UNTIL LATER
TONIGHT WHEN THE MID-LVL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND PARENT UPR LOW BEGIN
TO EJECT NEWD TOWARD THE WRN ATLC BASIN. PRIMARY SFC-BASED BUOYANCY
WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN OFFSHORE WITH ONLY WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY
EXISTING ALONG THE NERN NC AND SERN VA CSTL AREAS. THIS WILL BE
SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLD TSTMS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT.
..RACY.. 11/13/2009
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