Tuesday, November 24, 2009

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 241604
SWODY1
SPC AC 241603

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1003 AM CST TUE NOV 24 2009

VALID 241630Z - 251200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CNTRL/S FL...
SCTD MAINLY DIURNAL STORMS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INVOF AND S OF
WEAK W-E FRONT LOCATED E/W CENTRAL FL PENINSULA...WHERE SBCAPE WILL
APPROACH 1000-1500 J/KG. RELATIVELY WEAK LOW TO
MID LVL SHEAR AND MODEST LAPSE RATES SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY SVR
THREAT TODAY. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY MOVE INTO/DEVELOP
ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT/EARLY WED AS WIND FIELD/WAA
STRENGTHEN AHEAD OF APPROACHING MID/HIGH LEVEL GULF IMPULSE.
COUPLED WITH BACKED LOW-LVL FLOW...SETUP MAY YIELD A FEW DISCRETE OR
SEMI-DISCRETE STORMS. THESE COULD POSE A LOW CONDITIONAL THREAT FOR
AN ISOLD TORNADO EARLY WED.

..HALES/BOTHWELL.. 11/24/2009

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