SWODY3
SPC AC 150802
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0202 AM CST SUN NOV 15 2009
VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
...SYNOPSIS...
STG SHORTWAVE TROUGH -- NOW MOVING FROM ERN GREAT BASIN REGION
ACROSS 4-CORNERS AREA -- IS FCST TO EVOLVE INTO PRONOUNCED...CLOSED
AND TEMPORARILY CUT-OFF CYCLONE OVER WRN OZARKS REGION BY BEGINNING
OF PERIOD. LOW-LEVEL CYCLONE ALSO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE
VERTICALLY STACKED WITH CENTER OF CIRCULATION ALOFT. RESULTING
DEEP-TROPOSPHERIC LOW THEN SHOULD OCCLUDE...BEGIN TO FILL...AND
DRIFT ABOUT SRN/CENTRAL MO BEFORE AGAIN BECOMING ENTRAINED IN
PREVAILING WLYS DAYS 4-5. AS THIS OCCURS...SFC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
SWD ACROSS WRN GULF...SEWD OVER N-CENTRAL GULF AND EWD ACROSS
AL/GA...DECELERATING THROUGH END OF PERIOD AND MERGING WITH ERN
CONUS DAMMING FRONT OVER SRN APPALACHIANS REGION. IN WARM SECTOR S
OF THESE BOUNDARIES...WEAKNESS OF BOTH INSTABILITY AND LOW-LEVEL
CONVERGENCE SHOULD PRECLUDE ORGANIZED SVR THREAT.
AMPLIFYING MID-UPPER TROUGH OVER NERN PACIFIC WILL REACH W COAST
AROUND END OF PERIOD...POTENTIALLY BRINGING SOME POTENTIAL FOR
NON-SVR NOCTURNAL TSTMS TO PORTIONS NRN CA AND/OR PAC NW.
..EDWARDS.. 11/15/2009
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment