SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031128
MAZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-031230-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2194
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0528 AM CST THU DEC 03 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN NJ...SRN NY...CT...MA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 031128Z - 031230Z
...STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY PRECEDE AND ACCOMPANY NARROW BAND OF
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONT...
ORGANIZED LOW TOPPED LINE OF CONVECTION WITH VERY WEAK REFLECTIVITY
IS PROGRESSING RAPIDLY ENEWD ACROSS NRN NJ/SRN NY ALONG ADVANCING
COLD FRONT. THIS ACTIVITY HAS MAINTAINED A ROUGHLY 50KT FORWARD
PROPAGATION COMPONENT FOR MUCH OF THE EARLY MORNING AND WILL LIKELY
OVERTAKE A N-S PREFRONTAL BAND OF CONVECTION THAT HAS RECENTLY
INTENSIFIED ALONG THE NY STATE LINE SE OF ABY. WIND GUSTS HAVE
APPROACHED SEVERE LEVELS WITH THIS STRONGLY FORCED LINE AND GIVEN
ITS HISTORY IT APPEARS STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO PORTIONS OF
SRN NEW ENGLAND DESPITE THE OVERALL WEAK INSTABILITY.
..DARROW.. 12/03/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...
LAT...LON 40557429 42097414 42727293 42257199 40757274 40557429
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