Monday, January 11, 2010

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 111707
SWODY2
SPC AC 111706

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1106 AM CST MON JAN 11 2010

VALID 121200Z - 131200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...WEST COAST...

HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER ALONG THE WEST COAST AS REPETITIVE MID
LEVEL SPEED MAXIMA STREAM TOWARD THE CA COAST. THIS GRADUAL REGIME
CHANGE WILL RESULT IN DEEPER MOISTENING AS ONSHORE FLOW BECOMES MORE
DOMINANT. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS ELEVATED CONVECTION MAY BE
POSSIBLE AHEAD OF FRONTAL SURGE...PRIMARILY DURING THE FIRST HALF OF
THE PERIOD AHEAD OF QUICK MOVING UPPER VORT. LATE IN THE PERIOD
SFC-BASED INSTABILITY COULD BECOME SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS IN ASSOCIATION WITH FRONTAL ZONE. EVEN SO...MUCAPE
WILL REMAIN MARGINAL AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN WEAK.

..DARROW.. 01/11/2010

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