SWODY1
SPC AC 030529
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1129 PM CST TUE FEB 02 2010
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
AS AN UPPER SHORT-WAVE TROUGH MOVES QUICKLY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST...A
LARGER/SLOWER-MOVING TROUGH IS PROGGED TO DRIFT EWD ACROSS THE
ROCKIES.
AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE ERN HALF OF
THE CONUS...WHILE DECREASING PRESSURE -- BUT NO WELL-ORGANIZED LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM -- SHOULD AFFECT MUCH OF THE WRN U.S. AND INTO TX
THROUGH THE PERIOD.
...SERN AZ/SRN NM ESEWD ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/S TX...
WARM ADVECTION WILL INCREASE/SPREAD EWD ACROSS THE SWRN AND INTO THE
S CENTRAL U.S. THIS PERIOD...AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH.
AS HIGHER THETA-E AIR ASCENDS ISENTROPICALLY ATOP A COOL BOUNDARY
LAYER ASSOCIATED WITH THE SLOWLY-RETREATING SURFACE
HIGH...WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. WITH LITTLE
DESTABILIZATION ALOFT EXPECTED AS LAPSE RATES REMAIN NEARLY MOIST
ADIABATIC...ROBUST THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED. OCCASIONAL
LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE POSSIBLE HOWEVER...WITHIN A SWATH FROM
SERN AZ ESEWD INTO S TX WITHIN THE BROADER AREA OF RAIN/RAIN SHOWERS
EVOLVING AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING UPPER SYSTEM.
..GOSS.. 02/03/2010
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