SWODY1
SPC AC 010048
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0748 PM CDT WED MAR 31 2010
VALID 010100Z - 011200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
LIMITED TSTM THREAT OVER MUCH OF THE CONUS THROUGH 12Z THU.
...CNTRL/SRN CA COAST...
A SHORT WAVE TROUGH AROUND 100 MILES OFF THE CNTRL CA COAST WILL
SHIFT SWD ALONG THE SRN CA COAST OVERNIGHT. ASSOCIATED MID-LEVEL
COLD POCKET /-30 C AT 500 MB/ WILL MAINTAIN WEAK DESTABILIZATION
WITH MUCAPE REMAINING AOB 250 J/KG...PRIMARILY OFFSHORE.
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES SHOULD REMAIN MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE FOR
CHARGE SEPARATION...WITH SPORADIC LIGHTNING STRIKES POSSIBLE ALONG
THE IMMEDIATE COAST.
...BLACK HILLS...
A SMALL AREA OF MINIMAL ELEVATED INSTABILITY SHOULD DEVELOP BETWEEN
09-12Z WITHIN A STRENGTHENING LOWER-LEVEL WARM THETA-E ADVECTION
REGIME. AN ISOLATED TSTM CANNOT BE RULED OUT...BUT OVERALL POTENTIAL
APPEARS RATHER LOW.
..GRAMS/DARROW.. 04/01/2010
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